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Mar 18 • 2 min read

We're all gonna watch it on Netflix anyway


Three fights are official for Netflix's first MMA event, "Rousey vs. Carano."

Most of you know by now that “Most Valuable Promotions” (MVP) added Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perry to the Netflix Rousey/Carano MMA event.

So, right now the card is:

  • Ronda Rousey vs. Gina Carano
  • Francis Ngannou vs. Phillipe Lins
  • Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perry

They’re calling it a “Triple Headliner” since all three matches are scheduled for five, 5-minute rounds. Odds seem to point to the more popular names winning.

Who that is can depend on who seems more popular to you. But still, this new fight is a little different since there is a lot to take into account.

Original BMF

We just had a BMF title fight in the UFC, but if you remember when these BMF shenanigans started (Happy St. Patrick's Day by the way), it featured Diaz vs. Jorge Masvidal at UFC 244 in my backyard of Madison Square Garden. Great fight with lots of hype, but ended in favor of Masvidal via TKO.

Due to a cut near Diaz's eye.

Diaz wanted to keep going, but the ringside physician called off the fight.

If you've been watching MMA for a while and have watched enough of the Diaz brothers' fights, you know both Nate and Nick cut easy. It's not a testament to their durability; they'll go until they're finished.

But the unified rules of MMA and cageside (or ringside) officials have to make these calls, and that was the call for the first BMF fight.

So what does this have to do with Diaz vs. Perry?

Perry has had a lot of success in bare-knuckle boxing since he left the UFC. He's shown to be very durable, even in fights he was losing.

He also packs a lot of power.

Which means he can cut Diaz early enough to make it bad enough to stop and pull off a win. I saw a few people picking Perry early to win because they know this. It's not a bad pick.

Perry's MMA record is 14-8.

He's lost mostly by decision and only once by submission.

Diaz and his brother are known to have great cardio, and both are very good at submissions, being black belts under Cesar Gracie. From Diaz's 21-13 record, 12 of his wins come by way of submission.

That's not necessarily a hole in Perry's game that Diaz can capitalize on, but it does show that if he wants to submit someone after trying to fight with them, he most likely can.

While I don't disagree with the reasons Perry could win, I still see ways for Diaz to win.

So, with all that in mind, I'll leave you with my early picks for the current card here:

Rousey vs. Carano: Ronda Rousey, Submission (Armbar)

Ngannou vs. Lins: Francis Ngannou, KO/TKO

Diaz vs. Perry: Nate Diaz, Submission (Guillotine Choke)

If you're taking notes, feel free to take some from this post and add them to your Notion FN Companion template (here if you're not on my list) or the physical notebook available on Amazon.


Follow me on 𝕏: @Carbazel

📘 My books: Bow and Arrow Mysteries (my fiction writing)

📩 Mixed Martial Answers on Substack

📓 Fight Night Card Companion Notebook: on Amazon

📃 Make your own Fight Night Card Companion: PDF

🎥 My YouTube channel: The Blogboard Jungle

📸 IG: @Carbeerzel


I'm a writer and podcaster who writes a lot about combat sports, martial arts culture, and entertainment. Subscribe and join over 1,000 readers every week!


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